追踪真正值得关注的 AI、大模型、系统更新、旗舰设备、跑分、新品发布、爆料可信度与价格变化。Makabaka.dev is a clean intelligence dashboard for AI models, phone updates, flagship devices, benchmarks, launches, rumors, and price changes.
示例信号Sample signals
43
追踪板块Boards
6
中英双语Bilingual
zh · en
示例信号Signals
43
数据集内in dataset
已验证Verified
26
占比 60%60% share
发布追踪Launches
6
项在追踪tracked
信号量走势（示例）Signal volume (sample)
▲ 18%示例信号流中最值得关注的五条。完整列表见雷达页。The five sample signals worth your attention. See the radar page for the full feed.
长上下文调用延迟下降约 30%，价格不变；Batch 层级优先获得访问权。Latency down roughly 30% on long-context calls; pricing unchanged. Batch tier gets priority access first.
#sig-2481来源 官方更新日志Source Official changelog影响 高影响Impact High impact建议 先测试Action Test
蜂窝网络下电量低于 20% 时后台同步将延后；部分用户报告待机显示闪烁。Background sync now defers on cellular under 20% battery. Some users report Standby display flicker.
#sig-2478来源 iOS 测试版说明Source iOS beta release notes影响 中等影响Impact Medium impact建议 再等等Action Wait
仅设备端生成摘要，音频不离开手机；分两周灰度推送。On-device summaries only; no audio leaves the phone. Rollout is staged over two weeks.
#sig-2475来源 Google 官方博客Source Google official blog影响 中等影响Impact Medium impact建议 建议升级Action Update
同一板卡厂商的爆料还列出 400W TGP 上限；暂无发布窗口，谨慎对待。Same board partner leak also lists a 400W TGP ceiling. No launch window attached — treat with caution.
#sig-2470来源 板卡厂商渠道Source Board partner channel影响 中等影响Impact Medium impact建议 观察中Action Watch
供应链消息称分辨率不变但镜头组重新设计，与此前两次爆料一致。Supply-chain note claims a redesigned lens stack over the same resolution. Consistent with two earlier leaks.
#sig-2466来源 供应链消息Source Supply-chain note影响 低影响Impact Low impact建议 观察中Action Watch
主流 AI 模型与平台本周动向——什么变了、什么在路上、影响到谁。Where the major AI platforms stand this week — what changed, what's in flight, and who it affects.
o5 系列在六月调价后趋于稳定，API 错误率回落至基线。o5 family settled after the June pricing change. API error rates back to baseline.
影响 · API 用户 · ChatGPTImpact · API users · ChatGPT
新旗舰层级上线：更长上下文，计算机操作能力增强。New flagship tier shipped with longer context and computer-use improvements.
影响 · 智能体 · 编码工作流Impact · Agents · coding workflows
下一代 Ultra 检查点已出现在 A/B 测试中，Workspace 分批推送。Next Ultra checkpoint visible in A/B tests. Workspace rollout appears staged.
影响 · Android · WorkspaceImpact · Android · Workspace
新的开源 30B 级模型逼近托管中端水准，显存压力缓解。New open-weights 30B class models closing on hosted mid-tier. VRAM pressure easing.
影响 · 自托管 · 端侧Impact · Self-hosting · edge
驱动分支在 CUDA 13 负载下稳定，消费级显卡供应恢复正常。Driver branch stable across CUDA 13 workloads. Supply of consumer cards normalizing.
影响 · 训练 · 游戏显卡Impact · Training · gaming GPUs
更强的 Siri 上下文能力仍锁定在 iOS 26.1 beta，可用地区仍少。Expanded Siri context features gated behind iOS 26.1 beta. Region list still narrow.
影响 · iPhone · MacImpact · iPhone · Mac
各大手机系统的当前版本与状态，并给出一句话升级建议。Current builds across major phone operating systems, with a plain recommendation for each.
续航修复已确认，一周内无回归报告。Battery drain fix confirmed. No regressions reported in a week.
Pixel 构建干净，AOSP 合并完成。Pixel builds clean. AOSP merge complete.
S25 系列表现稳定；折叠屏上相机应用有崩溃。Solid on S25 series; camera app crashes on foldables.
分批推送中，早期用户报告待机耗电——建议再等一周。Staged rollout. Early units report standby drain — hold a week.
应用生态缺口收窄，Mate 系列核心系统流畅。App ecosystem gaps closing. Core system smooth on Mate series.
3.0.11 曾导致部分地区后台推送失效，修复正在推送。3.0.11 broke background push for some regions; fix is propagating.
正在重点追踪的硬件——处于什么阶段、关注点是什么、讨论热度如何。The hardware we're actively tracking — what stage it's at, what we're watching for, and how hot the coverage is.
A19 Pro 持续性能与新均热板表现A19 Pro sustained performance, new vapor chamber
热度Heat
One UI 8.5 测试周期与相机管线更新One UI 8.5 beta cycle, camera pipeline updates
热度Heat
Tensor G5 散热与端侧 AI 功能更新Tensor G5 thermals, on-device AI feature drops
热度Heat
麒麟路线图与 HarmonyOS NEXT 独占性Kirin roadmap, HarmonyOS NEXT exclusivity
热度Heat
哈苏调校与硅碳电池容量Hasselblad tuning, silicon-carbon battery capacity
热度Heat
M5 Pro/Max 核心规格与可能的 OLED 面板M5 Pro/Max core counts, possible OLED panel
热度Heat
RTX 5080 移动版在 2025 模具下的散热RTX 5080 laptop thermals vs. 2025 chassis
热度Heat
本地 200B 级推理与集群互联Local 200B-class inference, cluster linking
热度Heat
参考机型的多核持续性能成绩——取持续负载，不取一次性峰值。Multi-core CPU scores from our reference runs. Sustained results, not one-shot peaks.
Apple M5
早期数据，零售机待验证；能耗比暂无对手。Early figures, retail units pending. Perf/W unmatched.
Ryzen AI 9 HX 475
仅插电成绩，电池模式下降约 35%。Plugged-in only; battery mode drops ~35%.
A19 Pro
迄今最佳持续成绩，光追差距明显缩小。Best sustained scores yet; ray tracing gap narrowed.
Snapdragon 8 Elite 2
多核爆发领先，20 分钟后降频约 12%。Wins multi-core bursts; throttles ~12% at 20 min.
Dimensity 9500
中频段能效曲线非常优秀。Excellent efficiency curve at mid frequencies.
Tensor G5
设计取向本就不是跑分芯片，TPU 负载表现出色。Not a benchmark chip by design; TPU workloads shine.
接下来值得期待的发布，每一项都附有时间可信度评估。Expected launches ahead, each with a confidence read on the timing — not just the wish list.
年度节奏，邀请函预计八月底发出。Annual cadence; invites expected late August.
日期已官宣，下一代 Elite 平台将发布。Dates announced. Next-gen Elite platform reveal.
供应链指向秋季活动，OLED 尚不明朗。Supply chain points to a fall event; OLED unclear.
基于发布节奏推估，Unpacked 尚未官宣。Cadence-based estimate; Unpacked not yet scheduled.
仅有单一供应链报告，芯片情况多变。Single supply-chain report; chip situation fluid.
仅路线图泄露；时间尚远，预期会有变化。Roadmap leak only. Far out — expect changes.
追踪硬件的街价走势——值得出手的降价，和值得再等等的涨价。Street prices on tracked hardware — drops worth acting on, rises worth waiting out.
手机Phone
秋季功能更新前，激进的以旧换新叠加优惠。Aggressive trade-in stacking ahead of the fall feature drop.
笔记本Laptop
各大零售商返校促销，历史低位价格。Back-to-school promos at major retailers. Historically a floor.
手机Phone
常规年中降价；S27 临近前可能还会更低。Typical mid-cycle erosion. Deeper cuts likely as S27 nears.
手机Phone
发布以来街价无变动，优惠集中在运营商渠道。No street movement since launch; carriers do the discounting.
显卡GPU
供应收紧，再度高于建议零售价；勿恐慌入手。Back above MSRP on supply tightening. Avoid panic buying.
内存Memory
数据中心需求挤压消费级内存，短期看不到缓解。Datacenter demand squeezing consumer DRAM. No relief in sight.
示例街价 · 非实时行情Sample street pricing · not live market data
雷达上的每条未证实信号都带有五档可信度分级，具体含义如下。Every unconfirmed signal on the radar carries one of five confidence tiers. Here's exactly what they mean.
已验证Verified
Verified已验证
官方已宣布，或经多个一手信源独立证实。Officially announced or independently confirmed by multiple primary sources.
高可信High Confidence
High Confidence高可信
信誉良好的爆料者，或有供应链数据相互印证。Trusted leaker with a strong track record, or corroborating supply-chain data.
中等可信Medium Confidence
Medium Confidence中等可信
合理且符合路线图，但来自单一未经验证的信源。Plausible and consistent with the roadmap, but from a single unproven source.
低可信Low Confidence
Low Confidence低可信
信源薄弱，或与更可靠的信息相冲突。Thin sourcing or conflicts with better-established information.
离谱传闻Wild Rumor
Wild Rumor离谱传闻
无信源的猜测；仅存档记录，不作参考。Unsourced speculation. Tracked for the record, not for planning.